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Nearly 100 US troops were injured in Iranian attacks on Middle East bases. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 26.5% YES. The post Nearly 100 US troop...
EU pauses methane penalties to secure energy supply amid crisis. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 12.5% YES. The post EU pause...
Iran reasserts control over the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing conflict. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 13.5% YES. The post Iran reasserts contr...
Trump signs executive order restricting defense contractors from obtaining waivers for banned foreign minerals, tightening supply chain rules The post...
Trump's new Section 232 tariff changes reduce aluminum duties to 15% and adjust country-specific rules, with potential macro implications for The post...
DoubleLine bets on stable US interest rates under new Fed Chair Warsh. Fed pause in next three decisions at 58.5% YES. The post DoubleLine bets on sta...
FIFA investigates Argentina after World Cup final brawl and political banner incident. Here's what it means for crypto prediction markets. The post Ar...
Iran uses drones and decoys in the Strait of Hormuz against U.S. operations. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 50% YES. The post Iran...
Moonshot AI unveils Kimi K3, a 2.8 trillion parameter model challenging US AI leaders with aggressive pricing and open-source plans ahead of a The pos...
US Navy deploys carrier strike groups in the Middle East amid Iran tensions. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 23% YES. The p...
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