Analysis News

The Bitcoin price is under increasing pressure ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which has historically corresponded with big price movements in the market’s largest cryptocurrency. Rate Cut Odds Fade The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at this meeting. Economists surveyed by financial data provider FactSet anticipate the federal funds rate — the benchmark rate banks use for overnight lending — will remain in the 3.5% to 3.75% range.  Such a pause would follow three consecutive rate cuts delivered by the Fed toward the end of last year, a shift that initially fueled optimism across risk assets, including the Bitcoin price. Related Reading: XRP Outlook For 2026: AI Model Signals New Record Ahe...

A Glassnode analyst has pointed out how Ethereum is retesting a dense supply cluster that could set the tone for where the cryptocurrency heads next. Ethereum Is Trading At A Dense Level On The CBD In a new post on X, Glassnode analyst Chris Beamish has talked about how Ethereum is looking from the perspective of the Cost Basis Distribution (CBD). The CBD is an on-chain indicator that tells us about the total amount of ETH that investors last purchased at the various levels that the cryptocurrency has visited in its history. Related Reading: Bitcoin Social Interest Fades As Retail Chases Gold, Silver Hype Below is the chart shared by Beamish that shows the CBD heatmap for Ethereum. As is visible in the graph, Ethereum’s bottom in November gave rise to a dense supply ...

Crypto analyst Matt Hughes is arguing the global liquidity cycle is stretching well beyond its usual rhythm and that the extension is precisely why staying structurally bearish on crypto has been so punishing since 2020. Hughes, who posts as “The Great Mattsby,” said Monday that the cycle is “now ~6 years strong post-2020 with no clear peak in sight as of early 2026,” framing the move as something closer to a super-cycle than a standard 4–6 year expansion. What This Means For The Crypto Market Hughes’ core claim is that the traditional mechanism that ends liquidity cycles, central banks tightening into contraction, is being blunted by a mix of debt math, fragmented global money creation, and a capital-intensive investment boom that keeps pulling liquidity back into r...

要点 パンデミック初期に台頭した中国語話者向けマネーロンダリングネットワーク（Chinese Money Laundering Network: CMLN）は、現在では既知の暗号資産マネーロンダリングの中心的な担い手となっており、過去5年間に不正な暗号資産資金のおよそ20％を処理したと推計されます。このCMLNへの流入の伸びは、2020年以降の中央集権型取引所への不正流入の伸びと比べて7,325倍のスピードです。 CMLNは2025年に161億ドルを処理しており、1,799以上のアクティブウォレットで1日あたり約4,400万ドルに相当します。 Chainalysisは、CMLNエコシステムの中に6種類の明確に異なるサービス形態が存在し、それぞれに固有のオンチェーン上の行動パターンがあることを特定しました。Black Uやギャンブル系サービスは、大口トランザクションを複数の少額に分割して検知を回避する一方、相対取引型（Over-the-Counter、OTC）サービスは少額トランザクションをまとめて大口に集約し、資金を統合します。 HuioneやXinbiのような担保プラットフォームは、マネーロンダリング業者が集まるハブとして機能しますが、基盤となる取引活動自体を管理しているわけではないため、本分析の集計指標には含めていません。法執行機関による取締りは一定の打撃を与えてきたものの、業者は別のチャネルへと移動するだけであることが多く、洗浄オペレーター本人を直接的に狙う必要性が浮き彫りになっています。 不正なオンチェーンのマネーロンダリングエコシステムは、ここ数年で劇的に拡大しており、2020年の100億ドルから2025年には820億ドル超へと増加しました。[1] この大幅な総額の伸びは、暗号資産へのアクセス性と流動性の高まりに加え、...

Reports note that Bitcoin holders realized large losses as prices slid, and the headline number is hard to ignore. According to on-chain tracker CryptoQuant, about $4.5 billion in net losses was recorded on January 23. Related Reading: Bitcoin Influencers Get Spotlight In X’s New ‘Starterpacks’ That number reflects moved coins sold at prices lower than when they were bought. It is a big transfer of paper pain into real losses. Realized Losses Spike While the dollar figure grabs attention, the meaning is what matters. Many who bought late in the run higher are choosing to sell rather than hold through more decline. That behavior shows frustration. Reports say the Net Realized Profit and Loss metric tallies this by comparing sell prices to purchase prices, and a negati...

Solana started a recovery wave above the $125 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $128 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $122 and $125 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $128 and $130. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $118, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $122 level. There was a move above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $132 swing high to the $117 l...

Bitmine's increased ETH staking solidifies its influence in the crypto market, potentially impacting Ethereum's network dynamics and staking yields.
The post Bitmine stakes additional 113,280 ETH, totaling $7B in staked assets: On-chain data appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Intel's potential partnerships with NVIDIA and Apple could enhance US chip manufacturing, reduce reliance on TSMC, and align with "Made in America" goals.
The post Intel rises in extended trading on NVIDIA partnership rumors appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

XRP price failed to surpass $2.00 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay above $1.860. XRP price started a downside correction and tested the $1.90 zone. The price is now trading near $1.890 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel or a possible bullish flag pattern forming with support at $1.860 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears $1.950. XRP Price Struggles Below $2.00 XRP price failed to clear $2.00 and started a downside correction, underperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.920 and $1.90 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level ...

XRP is trading below the $2.00 mark as the market drifts into a phase defined by apathy and uncertainty, with participation thinning and conviction on both sides fading. After a powerful rally earlier in the cycle, price action has cooled significantly, and recent attempts to regain momentum have failed to attract sustained follow-through. The current environment reflects a market that is no longer driven by aggressive speculation but instead is weighed down by caution and a lack of clear directional catalysts. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Below $87K As Political Risk Spikes – Liquidations Reveal The Real Driver Top analyst Darkfost explains that the shift began in the derivatives market. After XRP open interest on Binance surged to a new all-time high of $1.76 bi...